VIJIGISHU '24

Friday, 2 February 2024

INR | WEST ASIA: Weekly Updates

Gaza Policy Takes a Backseat as Netanyahu Focuses on Political Survival

  • Netanyahu faces challenges in Gaza and domestically, struggling to defeat Hamas and address political concerns.
  • Over 100 hostages remain in Gaza, and polls suggest potential election loss and legacy damage.
  • - Efforts for a peace deal with Saudi Arabia clash with the need to reject a Palestinian state for coalition support.
  • Internal conflicts arise over hostage negotiations and cooperation with centrist leaders.
  • Public support for a two-state solution declines, and Netanyahu plans to center the election campaign on the Palestinian statehood question.
  • Critics argue a lack of a postwar plan hampers military progress, while allies claim Netanyahu prioritizes the country's goals.
  • Opinion polls indicate a loss of public faith in Netanyahu, but his history of political resilience is noted.

Read more at: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/01/world/middleeast/netanyahu-israel-gaza-politics-war.html


US Optimistic as Hamas Reviews Three-Stage Proposal in Gaza Hostage Negotiations

  • US expresses optimism on a potential Gaza hostage deal.
  • Hamas reviews a three-stage proposal for hostage release.
  • Qatar and Egypt play intermediary roles in the negotiations.
  • Israeli PM Netanyahu insists on "total victory" before troop withdrawal.
  • Netanyahu faces pressure from the US and opposition from far-right parties in his coalition.
  • The possibility of a deal depends on finding flexibility for a war pause, prisoner release, and increased humanitarian aid to Gaza.

Read more at: https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-784371


Escalation in Yemen: US Launches Strikes on Houthi Drones in Yemen

  • US strikes 10 Houthi drones and a ground control center in Yemen, ensuring maritime security.
  • Houthis warn of more attacks on US and British warships.
  • USS Carney intercepts ballistic missile and downs three Iranian drones.
  • Tensions escalate with the Houthis considering US and British interests as legitimate targets.
  • Multinational naval task force established to protect Red Sea shipping; EU plans a naval mission.
  • US seeks diplomatic and financial pressure on the Houthis, relisting them as "specially designated global terrorists" in January.

Read more at: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/2/1/us-military-targets-10-houthi-drones-in-new-yemen-strikes


Iran's Nervousness Over Proxy Actions and US Response Strategies

  • Iranian leaders are nervous about proxy group actions in Iraq, Syria, and Yemen, fearing global economic disruption and increased confrontation with the US.
  • Over 160 attacks by Iran-backed militants on US forces have occurred since October, including one that killed three American soldiers.
  • No expected change in Iran's strategy of supporting proxy attacks to avoid all-out war.
  • The Biden administration considers options, including strikes on Iranian assets, in response to the recent attack.
  • Proxy militia Kataib Hezbollah suspends attacks on US forces, possibly aiming to de-escalate tensions.
  • Iran fears blowback from Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping, leading to global economic impact and international pressure.
  • The US exploits Iranian anxieties through UN resolutions and joint statements, urging China to use its influence to ease tensions.

Read more at: https://edition.cnn.com/2024/02/01/politics/us-intelligence-iran-nervous-escalating-proxy-attacks/index.html?utm_medium=social&utm_source=whatsappCNN&utm_content=2024-02-01T12:46:45


Growing Strain as Israel Eyes Control of Gaza's Southern Border with Egypt

  • Israel contemplates controlling Gaza-Egypt border, including Rafah crossing, to prevent future Hamas attacks.
  • Netanyahu emphasizes securing the Philadelphi Corridor for demilitarization, raising concerns in Egypt over the 1979 peace treaty.
  • Egypt warns any Israeli move on the border could seriously impact relations, calling it a red line.
  • Accusations of weapons smuggling strain Egypt-Israel relations, impacting their previously stable partnership.
  • Israel's potential seizure of the border may affect Egypt's role in mediating between Israel and Hamas.
  • The conflict strains Egypt's economy, affecting tourism and shipping income through the Suez Canal.
  • Israeli military operations along the Philadelphi Corridor would require Egyptian consent, adding complexity.

Read more at: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/01/31/israel-egypt-gaza-philadelphi-corridor/?utm_campaign=wp_main&utm_medium=social&utm_source=whatsapp_channels


U.S. approves F-16 sale to Turkiye, F-35 to Greece after Turkiye ratifies Sweden's entry to NATO

  • The Biden administration approved the sale of F-16 fighter jets worth $23 billion to Turkey.
  • The sale follows Turkey's ratification of Sweden's NATO membership, contributing to the alliance's expansion.
  • A concurrent $8.6 billion sale of advanced F-35 fighter jets to Greece was also approved.
  • Turkey sought the F-16 upgrade and conditioned Sweden's NATO membership on the jet sale's approval.
  • Concerns over human rights objections, including from Senators Cardin and Risch, were overcome.
  • Turkey's delayed approval of Sweden's NATO membership frustrated the U.S., but the sale signifies progress.
  • Sweden's NATO accession now depends on Hungary's approval, with expectations for a swift decision.

Read more at: https://newsth.live/ZjHbcz


How Leaders and Diplomats Are Trying to End the Gaza War

  • Top officials from at least 10 administrations are working on complex deals to end the Gaza war and address governance in the aftermath.
  • Discussions focus on a cease-fire between Israel and Hamas, reshaping the Palestinian Authority, and encouraging Israel to agree to a Palestinian state.
  • Talks involve the exchange of hostages, potential leadership changes in the Palestinian Authority, and conditions for Saudi Arabia to establish formal ties with Israel.
  • The U.S. is playing a central role in negotiations, addressing challenges like Israel's stance on Palestinian sovereignty and the ongoing military presence of Hamas in Gaza.
  • Proposals include a phased release of hostages, overhauling the Palestinian Authority, and exploring Saudi-Israeli diplomatic relations.
  • Significant obstacles remain, including Israel's reluctance to allow full Palestinian sovereignty and uncertainties regarding Hamas's role in post-war governance.
  • The Biden administration aims to facilitate discussions and ensure constant communication with Israeli and Arab leaders.

Read more at: https://nyti.ms/49bqqpC


Iran launches 3 satellites that are part of a West-criticised programme as tensions rise

  • The satellites named Mahda, Kayhan-2, and Hatef-1 have purposes ranging from research to global positioning and communication.
  • The Simorgh program had faced five consecutive failed launches before this success.
  • The U.S. has criticized Iran's satellite launches, claiming they violate a U.N. Security Council resolution and may contribute to ballistic missile development.
  • U.N. sanctions related to Iran's ballistic missile program expired in October 2022.
  • The U.S. intelligence community suggests that Iran's satellite launch vehicle development could expedite the timeline for intercontinental ballistic missile development.
  • The U.S. government did not immediately acknowledge Iran's recent satellite launch.

Read more at: https://newsth.live/PEK1xu


Israeli Forces Raid Hospital in West Bank, Killing 3 Palestinians Disguised as Doctors

  • Israeli forces, disguised as medical staff, conducted a raid in the occupied West Bank's Ibn Sina Hospital.
  • ⁠Three Palestinians, allegedly linked to an Israeli intelligence operation, were shot and killed.
  • The operation aimed at militants hiding in the hospital, according to the Israel Defense Forces.
  • Video footage reveals armed individuals in medical attire, sparking controversy over potential violations of international law.
  • Palestinian groups, including Hamas and Islamic Jihad, condemn the incident as a war crime.
  • The IDF chief emphasizes the need to prevent hospitals from becoming battlegrounds but asserts the fight against terrorism.
  • Legal analysts suggest the operation may have violated laws of armed conflict due to the use of disguises and potential perfidy.

Read More at: https://wapo.st/42loLLU


Iran Executes Four Accused of Espionage for Israeli Intel Operation

  • Iran executes four individuals tied to an alleged Israeli intelligence plot.
  • Accused of illegally entering from Iraq to bomb an Isfahan factory linked to Iran's Ministry of Defence.
  • The operation, slated for summer 2022, thwarted by Iranian intelligence.
  • Ongoing tensions between Iran and Israel, particularly over Iran's nuclear program.
  • Israel accuses Iran of supporting militant attacks; Iran alleges Israeli involvement in targeted killings.

Read More At: https://newsth.live/RluM1j


Iran Denies Involvement in US Base Attack; Tensions Rise Amidst Conflicting Claims

  • Iran's UN mission refutes any connection to the attack that killed three US service members in Jordan.
  • The statement, via state news agency IRNA, points to the ongoing conflict between US forces and regional resistance groups as the root cause.
  • US President Biden attributes the drone attack to Iran-backed groups, marking the first lethal strike against US forces since the Israel-Hamas war in October.
  • ⁠The unmanned aerial drone attack raises tensions and sends shock waves across the Middle East.
  • ⁠Iran emphasizes its non-involvement, framing the incident as part of reciprocal retaliatory attacks in the broader conflict.
  • Conflicting claims and rising tensions highlight the complexities surrounding regional dynamics and the challenges of attribution in the aftermath of such incidents.

Read More At: https://toi.in/Iraden


News bits proofread, compiled and drafted by:

Shubhdayini R. Jandev (M.A. I.R., 2nd Year)

Deepanshi Pathak (B.A. I.R., 2nd Year)

Aita Dey (B.A. I.R., 3rd Year)


Published by:

Alithia Clemency Paul (M.A. I.R., 2nd Year)



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