VIJIGISHU '24

Friday, 23 February 2024

INR | WEST ASIA: Weekly Updates

UN Security Council Meeting on Gaza Crisis

  • Date- 22/02/2024 
  • Location for the meeting was UN Headquarters in New York
  • Issue discussed was the ongoing war and tensions in Gaza Strip
  • Duration of Conflict is approaching 140 days
  • Special Coordinator's Statement: Tor Wennesland highlighted no end in sight to the conflict, trauma, suffering, and desperation
  • Humanitarian Situation has been described as shocking, unsustainable, and desperate by Mr. Wennesland
  • As per the regional impact, tensions are spilling into wider Middle East region with no solutions in sight

Read more at: https://news.un.org/en/story/2024/02/1146847


Paris Hostage Talks Aim to Secure Cease-Fire in Gaza

  • Hostage talks set for Paris on Friday involving top U.S., Israeli, Egyptian, and Qatari officials
  • Aimed at securing a cease-fire and release of hostages held by Hamas in Gaza
  • Follows meetings between U.S. envoy and Israeli officials
  • Escalating tensions and violence in the Middle East, including strikes in Gaza and a shooting near a West Bank checkpoint
  • Efforts gaining momentum, with both Hamas and Israel willing to negotiate over an interim deal involving hostage and prisoner exchange

Read more at: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/02/22/world/israel-hamas-war-gaza-news


Egypt Builds Wall and Clears Land near Gaza Border Amid Rising Tensions

  • Egypt has erected over 3km of wall along its border with Gaza, accompanied by extensive land clearance in the vicinity.
  • The construction surge follows Israel's warning of a potential ground offensive in Rafah, a city in southern Gaza experiencing a population surge.
  • While Egyptian authorities claim the project aims to establish a logistical hub for aid, aid workers doubt this explanation.
  • Satellite images reveal a significant clearing of approximately 16 sq km, with construction of the wall expanding rapidly.
  • Despite assertions of aiding displaced Palestinians, no provisions are reportedly made, raising suspicions about the true purpose of the endeavor.
  • Aid workers express skepticism, noting the lack of communication with humanitarian agencies about the supposed logistics hub.
  • Security experts speculate that the massive clearing and construction could be Egypt's preparation for a worst-case scenario, potentially hinting at conflict readiness.

Read more at: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-68375460


China Criticizes US Veto on Gaza Ceasefire as Tensions Persist

  •  China criticizes US veto of UN ceasefire resolution for Gaza, citing wrong message and continued violence.
  • US defends veto, citing potential harm to ongoing negotiations.
  • Israel's Prime Minister vows to continue war despite warnings of slaughter in Gaza.
  • Concerns rise over potential consequences of major ground offensive in Rafah.
  • Failure of UN resolution highlights challenges in diplomatic resolution.
  • Gaza remains in dire situation with millions displaced and lack of essential resources.

Read more at: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-68355436


Escalating Tensions in the Middle East: Ship Attacked in Red Sea, Gaza Strip Bombardment Continues

  • British-owned ship MV Rubymar attacked in the Gulf of Aden by Houthi rebels with anti-ship missiles, prompting crew evacuation.
  • ⁠Israeli bombardment of Gaza Strip persists, with concerns over potential ground offensive in Rafah, where over 1.5 million Palestinians seek shelter.
  • EU nations issue warning against Israeli offensive in Rafah, calling for humanitarian pause and lasting cease-fire.
  • Analysts foresee further escalation as Israel advances in Gaza and plans to push Hezbollah back into Lebanon, raising regional tensions.

Read More At: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/20/middle-east-escalation-likely-as-houthis-launch-most-damaging-attack-yet.html


Labour Party Narrowly Avoids Rebellion Over Gaza Ceasefire Vote

  • Speaker of the House of Commons allows vote on Labour amendment calling for immediate ceasefire in Gaza and Israel, avoiding rebellion from Labour MPs.
  • SNP motion for ceasefire prompts Labour's response; previous SNP motion saw 56 Labour MPs, including eight frontbenchers, quit party in support.
  • Speaker's decision to allow multiple amendments criticized for breaking precedent, but defended for considering widest range of options.
  • Keir Starmer faces pressure to take firmer stance on Israel's actions; Labour's amendment signals shift in party's position.
  • Israel threatens to expand operations in Gaza, Labour amendment opposes offensive in Rafah to prevent humanitarian catastrophe.
  • SNP welcomes Labour's shift, highlighting its role in influencing party's stance; Labour amendment addresses unbalanced language in SNP motion.
  • ⁠Differences between SNP motion and Labour amendment include omission of "collective punishment" reference and acknowledgment of Israel's right to self-defense.

Read More At: https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/uks-labour-calls-for-immediate-humanitarian-ceasefire-in-west-asia-ahead-of-crucial-parliamentary-vote/article67870594.ece


Israeli Knesset Supports Netanyahu's Opposition to Unilateral Palestinian State

  • Israeli Knesset overwhelmingly backs Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's stance against unilateral creation of Palestinian state.
  • ⁠Position emphasizes necessity of direct negotiations between Israel and Palestinians for any permanent agreement.
  • ⁠Critics argue Israel's stance gives it unilateral veto power over Palestinian statehood, hindering progress towards a two-state solution.
  • ⁠Palestinian delegation cites Netanyahu's statements in International Court of Justice to challenge Israel's commitment to good-faith negotiations.
  • ⁠Netanyahu's declarations affirm Israeli sovereignty over Jerusalem, commitment to building and developing West Bank, and maintenance of Israeli military control over the territory.

Read More At: https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2024/feb/21/middle-east-crisis-live-israel-gaza-palestine-lebanon-un-the-hague


Gold Prices Inch Up Amid Weaker Dollar and Middle East Tensions

  • Gold prices see slight increase, set for first weekly rise in three weeks, boosted by weaker U.S. dollar and rising tensions in the Middle East.
  • Spot gold up 0.1% at $2,025.7 per ounce, with U.S. gold futures also edging 0.2% higher.
  • Physical buying, especially from central banks, supports gold, along with stable dollar and geopolitical uncertainties.
  • Middle East tensions escalate as Yemen's Houthis claim attack on UK-owned ship and target Israel's Eilat with ballistic missiles and drones.
  • Weaker dollar index contributes to gold's appeal, making it less expensive for overseas buyers.
  • Data showing higher U.S. consumer and producer prices dampens hopes for early Fed interest rate cut, limiting gold's gains.
  • Fed Governor Waller suggests delaying rate cuts to assess inflation trend, with markets currently pricing in 62% chance of rate cut in June.
  • Spot platinum and palladium prices decline, while silver sees slight gain despite weekly decrease.

Read More At: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/gold-set-weekly-gain-weak-dollar-middle-east-woes-lift-appeal-2024-02-23/


G20 Foreign Ministers Express Strong Support for Two-State Solution Amid Israel-Palestine Conflict

  • G20 foreign ministers unanimously back a two-state solution for Israel and Palestine during a meeting in Rio de Janeiro.
  • Despite Israel's parliament voting against unilateral recognition of a Palestinian state, G20 nations emphasize the necessity of a two-state resolution.
  • Key diplomats, including US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, attended the meeting.
  • Israeli military campaign in Gaza Strip and Russia's war in Ukraine were central topics of discussion, highlighting global concerns over conflicts and polarization.
  • Pressure mounts on Israel for the creation of a Palestinian state, with growing international support, including from the United States.
  • Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov criticizes the West's interference in internal affairs, while G20 fails to make diplomatic progress on Ukraine conflict.
  • G20's first high-level meeting of the year sets the stage for annual leaders' summit in Rio in November.

Read More At: https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/broad-g20-support-for-two-state-solution-in-middle-east-brazil-101708630490425.html


Indian diesel floods to Asia as Houthis imperil flows to Europe

  • Diesel shipments from India to Europe are at their lowest since 2022 due to Houthi attacks on shipping, diverting more cargoes to Asia.
  • EU and UK arrivals plunged over 90% in February, driven by higher freight costs and unplanned Asian refinery maintenance.
  • Flows to Asia increased as it became more economically viable amid Red Sea turmoil and elevated shipping risks to Europe.
  • Despite the drop, some vessels loaded in India are en route to Rotterdam, indicating potential future diesel shipments to Europe.
  • Diesel-type fuel arrivals from India to Asian destinations, including Saudi Arabia and Bangladesh, surged in the same period.
  • Analysts anticipate better arbitrage economics, expecting an increase in diesel exports from India to Europe in the coming weeks.

Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/energy/oil-gas/indian-diesel-floods-to-asia-as-houthis-imperil-flows-to-europe/articleshow/107837678.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst


Bidding pipeline in West Asia remains strong: L&T

  • L&T shares declined due to reports of Saudi Aramco deferring $10 billion Safaniyah oilfield projects.
  • L&T's West Asia bidding pipeline remains robust, encompassing Blue Ammonia, Desulphurisation, petrochemical projects, Indian market opportunities, and ongoing Aramco projects.
  • Saudi Aramco decided to pause the expansion of its oil production capacity in line with a governmental directive.
  • Aramco aims for a maximum sustained production capacity of 12 million barrels per day (bpd), 1 million bpd less than the 2020 target.

Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/indl-goods/svs/construction/bidding-pipeline-in-west-asia-remains-strong-lt/articleshow/107829506.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst


EAM Jaishankar attends Munich security conference; bilateral talks with Antony Blinken

  • EAM S Jaishankar met with US Secretary of State Antony Blinken in Munich on February 17 during the ongoing security conference.
  • Discussions focused on the situations in West Asia, Ukraine, and the Indo-Pacific region.
  • Both leaders reviewed the progress in bilateral ties between the United States and India.
  • Secretary Blinken highlighted the mutually reinforcing approaches of the US and India to maritime security in the Red Sea.
  • The meeting addressed ongoing efforts to ensure lasting peace and security in West Asia.
  • The interaction took place on the sidelines of the 60th Munich Security Conference, held as an in-person event from February 16-18, 2024.

Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/india/eam-jaishankar-attends-munich-security-conference-bilateral-talks-with-antony-blinken/videoshow/107779316.cms


Raisina Dialogue 2024: From Technology To Climate, War, Peace And Multilateralism

  • The 9th Raisina Dialogue in Delhi opened with Greece's Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis and India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi inaugurating the event.
  • Organized by Observer Research Foundation and Ministry of External Affairs, the conference focuses on geopolitics and geo-economics under the theme "Chaturanga: Conflict, Contest, Cooperate and Create."
  • Participants include former heads of state, ministers, military commanders, industry leaders, tech experts, academics, and youth from 100+ countries.
  • Six thematic pillars guide discussions, covering tech's impact on political stability, climate action, emerging warfare, multilateralism challenges, the post-2030 agenda, and defending democracy.
  • Over 2500 in-person participants from 115 countries, with global viewership on digital platforms.

Read more at: https://stratnewsglobal.com/articles/raisina-dialogue-2024-from-technology-to-climate-war-peace-and-multilateralism/


Potential U.K. Labour Party rebellion averted as Parliament considers ‘immediate’ ceasefire in West Asia

  • Commons speaker allows Keir Starmer to hold a vote on Labour's amendment, avoiding a rebellion over Gaza.
  • Dozens of Labour MPs planned to vote for SNP's motion on an immediate Gaza ceasefire.
  • Unusual decision to allow both government and Labour amendments sparks anger and prompts criticism.
  • If Labour's amendment succeeds, it replaces the SNP motion, preventing Labour MPs from voting for a direct ceasefire.
  • Government's amendment calls for a ceasefire under specific conditions, including Hamas relinquishing control of Gaza and progress towards a two-state solution.
  • Vote on Labour's amendment scheduled for Wednesday evening; if it fails, MPs will vote on the unamended SNP motion and the government's amendment.

Read more at: https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/uks-labour-calls-for-immediate-humanitarian-ceasefire-in-west-asia-ahead-of-crucial-parliamentary-vote/article67870594.ece


News bits proofread, compiled and drafted by:

Shubhdayini R. Jandev (M.A. I.R., 2nd Year)

Deepanshi Pathak (B.A. I.R., 2nd Year)

Aita Dey (B.A. I.R., 3rd Year)


Published by:

Alithia Clemency Paul (M.A. I.R., 2nd Year)


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